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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

data as of 2026-04-20 13:49 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$22K−$19K$41K
Holders546+34512
Trades5.5K−2045.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.7%
−10.2 pp
57.9%
Avg ROI4.6%
+3.6 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×47.84
+47.36×
×0.48
Top-20 avg cost vs price×40.93
+40.47×
×0.46
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$21.4K
−$2.6K
$24.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
+0.02
0.87
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.7%
−187.3 pp
89.6%
Underwater %99.2%
+99.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %63.9%
−1.3 pp
65.2%
Bot %68.4%
−1.1 pp
69.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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