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Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 21?

data as of 2026-05-21 14:36 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$262−$1.8K$2.1K
Holders65+1550
Trades261+100161
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate29.6%
−49.3 pp
78.9%
Avg ROI7.5%
+7.9 pp
-0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×9.85
+8.93×
×0.92
Top-20 avg cost vs price×8.89
+7.97×
×0.91
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$13
−$546
$559
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-91.2%
−102.2 pp
11.0%
Underwater %98.2%
+98.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %28.2%
+8.8 pp
19.4%
Bot %32.5%
+13.3 pp
19.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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