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Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 10, 2026?

data as of 2026-06-30 18:39 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 10, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
3¢
NO
97¢
YES
3¢
YesY-NNo
Position$129+$18$111
Holders26+242
Trades53+512
NO
97¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.5%
+4.0 pp
39.5%
Avg ROI2.2%
+1.0 pp
1.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.33
+1.33×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.37
+1.37×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$8
−$119
$111
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-57.1%
−57.1 pp
0.0%
Underwater %81.9%
+81.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %8.7%
+8.7 pp
0.0%
Bot %10.7%
+10.7 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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