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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 12PM ET

data as of 2025-12-22 17:55 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.7K−$17K$21K
Holders97+2869
Trades1.4K−741.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.2%
−14.0 pp
60.3%
Avg ROI2.0%
+1.6 pp
0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×24.98
+24.22×
×0.76
Top-20 avg cost vs price×23.95
+23.19×
×0.75
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$32
−$433
$465
Recent buyer dominance0.61
+0.01
0.61
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.8%
−129.4 pp
33.6%
Underwater %100.0%
+97.6 pp
2.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %67.8%
−2.9 pp
70.7%
Bot %65.8%
−5.1 pp
70.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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