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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

data as of 2025-10-11 05:51 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$34K+$19K$15K
Holders58+1048
Trades128−6134
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.1%
+8.8 pp
44.3%
Avg ROI11.9%
+26.8 pp
-14.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×50.00
+49.49×
×0.51
Top-20 avg cost vs price×49.47
+48.93×
×0.53
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$23
−$1.6K
$1.6K
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.02
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-98.0%
−185.5 pp
87.5%
Underwater %99.4%
+99.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %6.9%
−38.7 pp
45.6%
Bot %0.3%
−13.0 pp
13.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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