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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

data as of 2026-05-13 01:04 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$13K+$280$13K
Holders273−87360
Trades2.8K−82.9K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.4%
+0.6 pp
49.8%
Avg ROI0.2%
−1.5 pp
1.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.46
−52.54×
×53.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.46
−52.41×
×52.87
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9.3K
−$3.0K
$12.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.87
−0.06
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL113.6%
+211.6 pp
-98.1%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.5 pp
98.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %61.8%
+1.2 pp
60.5%
Bot %75.1%
+3.1 pp
72.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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