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Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on March 21?

data as of 2026-03-21 15:43 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$442−$1.8K$2.3K
Holders82+4042
Trades466+160306
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.4%
−27.4 pp
67.8%
Avg ROI0.5%
+2.0 pp
-1.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×9.00
+8.17×
×0.83
Top-20 avg cost vs price×7.59
+6.72×
×0.87
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$8
$8
Recent buyer dominance0.51
−0.12
0.63
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-87.1%
−103.8 pp
16.7%
Underwater %88.1%
+87.9 pp
0.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %35.2%
+4.5 pp
30.6%
Bot %35.2%
+4.5 pp
30.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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