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GRVT FDV above $350M one day after launch?

data as of 2026-07-17 14:39 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jan 1, 2028Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
45¢
NO
49¢
YES
45¢
YesY-NNo
Position$41+$29$11
Holders3+12
Trades4+22
NO
49¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.5%
+29.2 pp
26.3%
Avg ROI2.5%
+6.8 pp
-4.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.08
−0.00×
×1.08
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.85
−0.23×
×1.08
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$11
$11
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL17.8%
+25.0 pp
-7.2%
Underwater %65.9%
−28.5 pp
94.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %81.2%
+81.2 pp
0.0%
Bot %34.1%
+34.1 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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