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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

data as of 2026-03-11 00:44 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$7.8K−$34K$42K
Holders381+109272
Trades3.7K+7173.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.2%
−28.2 pp
75.3%
Avg ROI2.9%
+3.3 pp
-0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×7.73
+6.95×
×0.78
Top-20 avg cost vs price×8.04
+7.24×
×0.80
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7.1K
−$16.3K
$23.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.04
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-86.8%
−111.4 pp
24.6%
Underwater %98.0%
+98.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %75.5%
−0.9 pp
76.5%
Bot %75.6%
−1.1 pp
76.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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