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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

data as of 2025-12-12 10:44 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.7K−$3.9K$8.7K
Holders138+30108
Trades1.1K+189913
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.8%
−13.1 pp
64.0%
Avg ROI0.1%
−0.2 pp
0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×16.99
+16.32×
×0.67
Top-20 avg cost vs price×17.89
+17.25×
×0.64
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$704
−$2.5K
$3.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.02
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.5%
−149.8 pp
55.3%
Underwater %99.4%
+99.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %58.1%
−9.2 pp
67.3%
Bot %61.3%
−9.3 pp
70.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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