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Will Noah Gragson win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship?

data as of 2026-07-24 04:58 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Nov 8, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO
100¢
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1−$9$10
Holders3+21
Trades4+31
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate60.4%
−29.7 pp
90.0%
Avg ROI180.6%
+180.3 pp
0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×5.00
+4.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×4.43
+3.43×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$10
$10
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-77.4%
−77.4 pp
0.0%
Underwater %85.7%
+85.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %28.6%
+28.6 pp
0.0%
Bot %28.6%
−71.4 pp
100.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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