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Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 20?

data as of 2026-06-20 05:58 UTC✓ on-chain◆ Even win rates🗓️ settles Jun 20, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
34¢
NO
66¢
YES
34¢
YesY-NNo
Position$703−$811$1.5K
Holders57−1572
Trades361+60301
NO
66¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate70.9%
−0.2 pp
71.1%
Avg ROI8.6%
−0.8 pp
9.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.88
−0.16×
×1.04
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.90
−0.17×
×1.07
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$61
−$52
$113
Recent buyer dominance0.96
−0.04
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL14.1%
+20.6 pp
-6.5%
Underwater %36.3%
−34.6 pp
70.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %33.1%
+5.3 pp
27.8%
Bot %33.1%
+2.4 pp
30.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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