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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

data as of 2025-12-19 22:56 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$12K−$30K$42K
Holders236−88324
Trades2.8K−2373.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate35.0%
−20.5 pp
55.5%
Avg ROI4.1%
+2.8 pp
1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×25.52
+24.81×
×0.71
Top-20 avg cost vs price×23.31
+22.62×
×0.68
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.2K
−$5.4K
$6.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.19
0.75
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.7%
−142.0 pp
46.3%
Underwater %92.8%
+92.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %73.3%
+19.8 pp
53.5%
Bot %72.5%
+20.9 pp
51.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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