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Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on March 21?

data as of 2026-03-18 16:28 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$23−$1.9K$1.9K
Holders23−2750
Trades178+9583
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate56.8%
−19.6 pp
76.4%
Avg ROI4.5%
+4.0 pp
0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.00
+1.01×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.32
+1.33×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9
−$408
$417
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-57.0%
−58.1 pp
1.1%
Underwater %86.5%
+84.8 pp
1.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %94.4%
+23.4 pp
70.9%
Bot %94.4%
+23.4 pp
70.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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