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Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

data as of 2025-11-14 06:14 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Dec 31, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
3¢
NO
81¢
YES
3¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.6K−$751$2.4K
Holders47+1136
Trades268+71197
NO
81¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.1%
−14.6 pp
69.7%
Avg ROI116.4%
+106.2 pp
10.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×6.33
+5.33×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×5.39
+4.39×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$2
$2
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-78.4%
−78.4 pp
0.0%
Underwater %83.1%
+83.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %73.5%
+73.5 pp
0.0%
Bot %87.1%
+87.1 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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