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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

data as of 2026-07-21 22:54 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$13K+$7.1K$5.6K
Holders243−136379
Trades1.6K−2711.8K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.2%
+0.1 pp
52.1%
Avg ROI1.3%
−3.1 pp
4.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.76
−13.58×
×14.35
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.74
−13.03×
×13.78
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.8K
+$1.0K
$4.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.68
−0.29
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL32.6%
+125.4 pp
-92.9%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.4 pp
99.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %40.3%
−0.5 pp
40.8%
Bot %64.3%
+3.7 pp
60.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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