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Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 15?

data as of 2026-04-15 19:45 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$87−$14K$14K
Holders48−2068
Trades745+309436
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate30.4%
−63.3 pp
93.7%
Avg ROI23.1%
+22.8 pp
0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.12
−0.90×
×1.02
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.19
−0.83×
×1.02
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$23
−$1.2K
$1.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.06
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL423.0%
+424.7 pp
-1.7%
Underwater %0.9%
−98.0 pp
98.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %15.6%
+14.6 pp
1.1%
Bot %15.6%
+14.6 pp
1.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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