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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

data as of 2026-06-05 00:43 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$5.0K−$20K$25K
Holders358+116242
Trades2.0K+6521.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.5%
−7.2 pp
54.7%
Avg ROI1.3%
−0.3 pp
1.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×10.48
+9.64×
×0.84
Top-20 avg cost vs price×10.89
+10.04×
×0.85
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.6K
−$1.3K
$6.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.26
0.69
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-91.6%
−114.5 pp
22.9%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %49.5%
−2.6 pp
52.1%
Bot %57.5%
−7.7 pp
65.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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