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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

data as of 2026-05-16 06:34 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$39K+$27K$12K
Holders441−8449
Trades4.3K−3964.7K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate66.8%
+22.4 pp
44.4%
Avg ROI0.4%
−6.4 pp
6.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.72
−28.31×
×29.03
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.74
−26.86×
×27.60
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$27.4K
+$16.3K
$11.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.03
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL32.3%
+128.3 pp
-95.9%
Underwater %14.6%
−79.2 pp
93.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %59.8%
+19.1 pp
40.6%
Bot %69.4%
+23.1 pp
46.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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