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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

data as of 2026-07-28 06:44 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$9.9K+$5.0K$4.9K
Holders248−72320
Trades1.4K−2751.6K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.8%
+3.6 pp
48.3%
Avg ROI0.7%
−0.5 pp
1.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.73
−6.86×
×7.59
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.83
−5.07×
×5.90
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9.0K
+$4.1K
$4.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
−0.07
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL29.3%
+114.9 pp
-85.7%
Underwater %19.0%
−70.5 pp
89.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %27.0%
+5.2 pp
21.9%
Bot %59.9%
+3.2 pp
56.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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