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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12PM ET

data as of 2026-03-13 16:58 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$64K+$24K$40K
Holders231+11220
Trades3.9K−2794.2K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.9%
−4.1 pp
56.0%
Avg ROI1.7%
+3.9 pp
-2.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.38
−19.19×
×19.57
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.35
−21.91×
×22.26
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.5K
+$4.2K
$265
Recent buyer dominance0.85
+0.28
0.57
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL157.2%
+252.9 pp
-95.7%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.5 pp
98.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %78.6%
−1.3 pp
79.9%
Bot %74.8%
−3.8 pp
78.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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