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XRP Up or Down - January 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

data as of 2026-01-16 03:59 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$1.3K−$231$1.5K
Holders74+3737
Trades441+150291
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate21.9%
−48.7 pp
70.7%
Avg ROI9.4%
+14.4 pp
-5.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.50
+2.99×
×0.51
Top-20 avg cost vs price×22.79
+22.26×
×0.53
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$365
−$366
$730
Recent buyer dominance0.87
+0.01
0.86
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.8%
−179.8 pp
84.0%
Underwater %82.6%
+82.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %41.2%
−24.0 pp
65.2%
Bot %41.2%
−24.0 pp
65.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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