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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

data as of 2026-02-21 02:05 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$17K−$55K$72K
Holders362−3365
Trades5.0K−515.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.1%
−27.3 pp
71.4%
Avg ROI8.9%
+2.8 pp
6.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×35.69
+34.73×
×0.96
Top-20 avg cost vs price×28.08
+27.23×
×0.85
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$16.7K
−$42.7K
$59.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.01
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.3%
−121.6 pp
25.3%
Underwater %97.5%
+62.4 pp
35.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %54.8%
−20.8 pp
75.6%
Bot %55.1%
−20.8 pp
75.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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