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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

data as of 2026-05-01 12:30 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$19K+$13K$5.7K
Holders138−59197
Trades1.3K−2121.5K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate76.6%
+44.5 pp
32.0%
Avg ROI0.6%
−194.6 pp
195.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.15
−17.85×
×20.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.15
−94.04×
×96.19
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.8K
+$5.7K
$38
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.14
0.82
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-53.5%
+45.9 pp
-99.3%
Underwater %99.9%
+3.9 pp
96.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %63.2%
+25.5 pp
37.8%
Bot %66.6%
+27.6 pp
39.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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