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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 9AM ET

data as of 2025-10-14 14:05 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$39K+$14K$24K
Holders112+12100
Trades3.8K−5744.4K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.4%
+10.2 pp
44.2%
Avg ROI2.8%
−3.6 pp
6.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.51
−44.10×
×44.60
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.49
−45.10×
×45.59
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$639
+$640
−$1
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL102.0%
+199.7 pp
-97.8%
Underwater %0.0%
−97.6 pp
97.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %76.7%
−5.0 pp
81.6%
Bot %56.9%
−24.9 pp
81.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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