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Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?

data as of 2025-12-29 08:51 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$111−$58K$58K
Holders42−297339
Trades1.2K+1891.0K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.5%
−37.4 pp
84.9%
Avg ROI21.0%
+15.8 pp
5.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.21
+0.21×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9
−$571
$580
Recent buyer dominance0.90
−0.10
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-14.2%
−14.4 pp
0.2%
Underwater %18.1%
−71.5 pp
89.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %59.0%
−34.5 pp
93.5%
Bot %78.6%
−18.4 pp
97.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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