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Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 53°F or below on April 1?

data as of 2026-03-29 21:28 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$18−$2.8K$2.8K
Holders27−1542
Trades226+14383
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate8.0%
−62.1 pp
70.1%
Avg ROI37.9%
+36.9 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×5.00
+4.01×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×4.65
+3.65×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$118
$120
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-78.5%
−79.2 pp
0.7%
Underwater %91.2%
+91.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %8.3%
−82.9 pp
91.2%
Bot %91.2%
+0.0 pp
91.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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