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Will Elon tweet 275–299 times April 11–18?

data as of 2025-04-16 01:02 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$3.0K−$49K$52K
Holders122−95217
Trades1.9K+6531.2K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate36.4%
−33.8 pp
70.2%
Avg ROI9.7%
−3.7 pp
13.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×12.00
+11.07×
×0.93
Top-20 avg cost vs price×13.43
+12.50×
×0.93
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4
−$575
$579
Recent buyer dominance0.84
−0.16
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.6%
−100.6 pp
8.0%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %24.8%
−54.2 pp
79.0%
Bot %24.8%
−54.2 pp
79.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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