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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

data as of 2026-06-16 09:37 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$5.9K−$27K$32K
Holders329+50279
Trades2.3K+4001.9K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.6%
−2.9 pp
56.5%
Avg ROI1.1%
−1.5 pp
2.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×11.50
+10.74×
×0.76
Top-20 avg cost vs price×10.44
+9.64×
×0.80
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.7K
−$8.0K
$13.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.05
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-91.4%
−121.4 pp
30.0%
Underwater %98.2%
+97.4 pp
0.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %55.9%
−6.2 pp
62.1%
Bot %61.2%
−6.2 pp
67.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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