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Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 23?

data as of 2026-07-21 09:32 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 23, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
26¢
NO
75¢
YES
26¢
YesY-NNo
Position$63−$121$184
Holders18+117
Trades54−155
NO
75¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate30.5%
−38.3 pp
68.8%
Avg ROI4.0%
−7.5 pp
11.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.01×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.04
+0.06×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11
−$20
$30
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.21
0.79
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-3.4%
−5.9 pp
2.5%
Underwater %29.2%
+24.6 pp
4.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %20.6%
+19.8 pp
0.8%
Bot %15.9%
+11.3 pp
4.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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