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Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 12?

data as of 2026-03-12 02:23 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$2.1K−$195K$197K
Holders92−44136
Trades1.8K+2491.6K
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate37.1%
−27.7 pp
64.7%
Avg ROI11.7%
+11.0 pp
0.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×8.83
+7.87×
×0.96
Top-20 avg cost vs price×10.45
+9.50×
×0.95
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$22
+$763
−$741
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.79
0.17
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-90.1%
−95.0 pp
4.9%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %6.4%
−42.3 pp
48.7%
Bot %6.4%
−42.3 pp
48.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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