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Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

data as of 2026-06-17 19:41 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Apr 17, 2027Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
8¢
NO
93¢
YES
8¢
YesY-NNo
Position$394−$2.5K$2.9K
Holders37+1918
Trades91+5734
NO
93¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate28.5%
+4.5 pp
24.0%
Avg ROI3.5%
+0.1 pp
3.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.09
+0.06×
×1.04
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.96
−0.06×
×1.02
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$15
−$2.4K
$2.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL1.3%
+3.5 pp
-2.2%
Underwater %60.1%
−15.3 pp
75.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %23.6%
+9.8 pp
13.8%
Bot %23.6%
+9.8 pp
13.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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