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Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

data as of 2026-02-08 11:27 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$16K−$284K$300K
Holders462+47415
Trades9.8K+3.9K6.0K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.3%
−24.4 pp
67.7%
Avg ROI51.4%
+52.6 pp
-1.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.09
+2.10×
×0.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×4.27
+3.30×
×0.97
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$26
$27
Recent buyer dominance0.52
−0.48
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-73.6%
−78.2 pp
4.6%
Underwater %68.9%
+34.7 pp
34.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %10.1%
−15.6 pp
25.7%
Bot %9.9%
−15.8 pp
25.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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