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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

data as of 2026-05-25 20:40 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$7.1K−$11K$18K
Holders167+36131
Trades1.7K+1011.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.1%
−4.6 pp
50.7%
Avg ROI-0.6%
−0.6 pp
-0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×12.23
+11.52×
×0.71
Top-20 avg cost vs price×12.85
+12.14×
×0.71
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$276
−$7.1K
$7.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.86
−0.10
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.8%
−132.3 pp
39.5%
Underwater %99.3%
+99.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %51.4%
−12.8 pp
64.2%
Bot %70.0%
−8.8 pp
78.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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