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Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?

data as of 2026-02-14 15:44 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$193−$8.8K$9.0K
Holders47−2370
Trades369+122247
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate41.3%
−58.3 pp
99.6%
Avg ROI19.7%
+19.9 pp
-0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.33
+0.33×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.32
+0.32×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5
−$257
$262
Recent buyer dominance0.97
−0.03
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-23.7%
−24.0 pp
0.3%
Underwater %56.5%
+10.6 pp
45.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %37.3%
−22.8 pp
60.1%
Bot %37.3%
−22.8 pp
60.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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