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2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 60% by March 31?

data as of 2026-03-19 08:43 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$151−$1.1K$1.2K
Holders61+4417
Trades332+179153
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.8%
−8.8 pp
55.6%
Avg ROI12.9%
+10.3 pp
2.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.00
+2.03×
×0.97
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.01
+2.04×
×0.97
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
+$2
$0
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-65.6%
−68.4 pp
2.7%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %19.4%
+8.9 pp
10.5%
Bot %20.0%
+9.5 pp
10.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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