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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

data as of 2026-05-14 18:49 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$23K+$10K$13K
Holders374−54428
Trades3.4K−2823.6K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.8%
+1.5 pp
50.3%
Avg ROI1.5%
+0.5 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.65
−11.76×
×12.41
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.63
−11.63×
×12.27
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$15.1K
+$2.9K
$12.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.84
−0.10
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL58.3%
+150.3 pp
-92.0%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.7 pp
99.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %56.0%
−0.2 pp
56.1%
Bot %65.7%
−0.1 pp
65.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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