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Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on April 20?

data as of 2026-04-20 21:58 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$823−$4.2K$5.0K
Holders104−9113
Trades574+186388
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate34.5%
−40.2 pp
74.7%
Avg ROI32.9%
+31.6 pp
1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×15.87
+15.16×
×0.71
Top-20 avg cost vs price×12.74
+11.96×
×0.78
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$16
−$476
$492
Recent buyer dominance0.97
−0.02
0.99
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.0%
−126.3 pp
33.3%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %29.6%
+9.6 pp
20.0%
Bot %36.3%
+16.3 pp
20.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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