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Aligned FDV above $50M one day after launch?

data as of 2026-04-04 10:59 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jan 1, 2028Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
75¢
NO
17¢
YES
75¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.0K+$991$56
Holders5−611
Trades16−2238
NO
17¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate97.3%
+66.4 pp
30.9%
Avg ROI2.0%
−6.8 pp
8.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.05
+0.05×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.06
−0.45×
×1.51
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$872
+$876
−$4
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-5.4%
+28.2 pp
-33.6%
Underwater %100.0%
+54.4 pp
45.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
−32.1 pp
32.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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