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Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?

data as of 2026-03-20 16:00 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.8K−$4.7K$6.5K
Holders98−4102
Trades468−87555
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.5%
−16.5 pp
70.0%
Avg ROI-3.3%
−10.0 pp
6.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×200.00
+199.19×
×0.81
Top-20 avg cost vs price×203.06
+202.27×
×0.79
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$200
$200
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-99.5%
−127.5 pp
28.0%
Underwater %99.6%
+99.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %10.3%
−4.7 pp
15.0%
Bot %11.4%
−3.5 pp
14.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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