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Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 9?

data as of 2026-01-09 08:45 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$154−$33K$33K
Holders62−74136
Trades299+84215
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate18.2%
−40.3 pp
58.6%
Avg ROI28.7%
+28.8 pp
-0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.00
+2.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×5.88
+4.89×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$1.2K
$1.2K
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-83.8%
−84.3 pp
0.5%
Underwater %92.5%
+90.6 pp
2.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %32.9%
+7.2 pp
25.7%
Bot %24.9%
+5.1 pp
19.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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