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Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $111K on August 25?

data as of 2025-08-25 13:42 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$42K−$84K$126K
Holders118−43161
Trades2.1K+7631.3K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.6%
−5.8 pp
51.4%
Avg ROI-6.5%
−5.5 pp
-1.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.54
−0.71×
×1.25
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.53
−0.71×
×1.24
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$49
−$40
$89
Recent buyer dominance0.51
−0.03
0.54
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL92.6%
+113.4 pp
-20.8%
Underwater %0.1%
−99.2 pp
99.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %73.9%
−15.2 pp
89.2%
Bot %73.9%
−15.2 pp
89.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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