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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6AM ET

data as of 2026-03-18 10:43 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$11K−$17K$28K
Holders172+10162
Trades2.5K+5742.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.8%
−1.4 pp
51.2%
Avg ROI3.4%
+2.7 pp
0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×38.63
+38.04×
×0.59
Top-20 avg cost vs price×36.66
+36.07×
×0.59
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$247
−$2.3K
$2.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
+0.08
0.83
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.2%
−162.1 pp
65.0%
Underwater %97.6%
+97.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %57.2%
−5.5 pp
62.7%
Bot %57.1%
−5.5 pp
62.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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