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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

data as of 2026-01-16 00:37 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$14K+$13K$1.7K
Holders52+2032
Trades374+131243
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate76.1%
+25.0 pp
51.2%
Avg ROI3.6%
−128.9 pp
132.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.81
−15.46×
×16.27
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.81
−10.78×
×11.59
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$605
+$601
$4
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.21
0.79
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL23.8%
+115.2 pp
-91.4%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.6 pp
98.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %53.2%
−20.0 pp
73.1%
Bot %53.2%
−21.3 pp
74.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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