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Counter-Strike: illwill vs Ursa - Map 1 Winner

data as of 2026-03-13 10:00 UTC● RESOLVEDillwill won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
ILLWILL✓ WON
100¢
URSA
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
ILLWILL
100¢
illwillI-UUrsa
Position$76+$74$2
Holders4−610
Trades10−313
URSA
0¢
illwillΔ i−UUrsa
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.4%
+25.9 pp
17.5%
Avg ROI-6.2%
−51.6 pp
45.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.03
−0.37×
×1.40
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.93
−0.82×
×1.75
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$2
$2
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL7.8%
+50.6 pp
-42.8%
Underwater %55.3%
−31.9 pp
87.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %82.4%
+72.9 pp
9.5%
Bot %82.4%
+68.7 pp
13.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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