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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

data as of 2026-07-25 23:35 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$5.7K−$1.5K$7.2K
Holders221+7214
Trades1.5K+4121.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.9%
−2.2 pp
51.1%
Avg ROI2.9%
+1.3 pp
1.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×7.78
+7.24×
×0.54
Top-20 avg cost vs price×6.56
+5.99×
×0.57
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.6K
−$1.1K
$6.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.01
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-85.3%
−150.6 pp
65.3%
Underwater %97.4%
+96.8 pp
0.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %26.5%
−10.1 pp
36.5%
Bot %50.2%
−6.9 pp
57.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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