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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

data as of 2026-07-28 00:57 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$1.9K−$4.7K$6.6K
Holders118+13105
Trades923+72851
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.6%
−7.2 pp
58.8%
Avg ROI4.4%
+2.5 pp
1.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×6.65
+5.80×
×0.84
Top-20 avg cost vs price×6.52
+5.67×
×0.84
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$401
−$2.5K
$2.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
−0.02
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-86.5%
−108.5 pp
22.0%
Underwater %97.5%
+93.5 pp
4.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %38.5%
−0.9 pp
39.4%
Bot %70.6%
+2.5 pp
68.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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