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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

data as of 2026-04-14 20:00 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$21K−$42K$63K
Holders421+10411
Trades5.9K+1535.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.6%
−17.0 pp
61.5%
Avg ROI-0.2%
−2.1 pp
2.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×45.48
+44.95×
×0.53
Top-20 avg cost vs price×37.71
+37.00×
×0.71
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$19.7K
−$21.6K
$41.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.85
−0.07
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.5%
−158.1 pp
60.6%
Underwater %98.0%
+93.8 pp
4.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %76.6%
−0.2 pp
76.8%
Bot %77.7%
−1.4 pp
79.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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