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Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027?

data as of 2026-05-04 10:23 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jan 1, 2028Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
60¢
NO
17¢
YES
60¢
YesY-NNo
Position$302−$21$323
Holders11+47
Trades63+2538
NO
17¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate68.6%
−3.6 pp
72.3%
Avg ROI-0.3%
−5.5 pp
5.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−0.35×
×1.35
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
−0.31×
×1.31
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
+$2
$0
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+23.4 pp
-23.4%
Underwater %0.0%
−86.4 pp
86.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−13.6 pp
13.6%
Bot %0.0%
−13.6 pp
13.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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