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Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 19?

data as of 2026-07-18 16:35 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 19, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
27¢
NO
73¢
YES
27¢
YesY-NNo
Position$712−$742$1.5K
Holders52+151
Trades236+57179
NO
73¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.9%
−6.1 pp
51.1%
Avg ROI5.8%
−4.1 pp
9.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.29
+0.39×
×0.90
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.27
+0.36×
×0.91
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$24
−$40
$64
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.08
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-21.3%
−32.2 pp
10.9%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %25.8%
+20.3 pp
5.5%
Bot %31.0%
+23.1 pp
7.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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